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PACIFICA FOUNDATION
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER REPORT
There are several aspects to highlight this month.
Budget Matters
Summary Points:
- We are on pace to achieve the one month proviso as a
Network, however that is not true for several stations which
are generating financial plans to achieve the goal of achieving
a balanced budget by the end of this fiscal, or in the case
of KPFA, next fiscal.
- I have indicated that we may have the challenge of a
financial perfect storm approaching. Much depends upon how
well we can plan to ward off certain financial issues.
- We are, as all know, moving into a transition period
with our Executive Director leaving, a departing general
manager at WBAI, several stations having to regroup financially
and new stirrings from the CPB and the right on the horizon.
These next 90 days are crucial for us to manage our way
through to the other side. These were detailed to the Board
at the last Board meeting. Hopefully, we can start the process
of implementing those critical items.
Expense Forecast Summaries
February 2005 Forecast
|
|
SUMMARY |
|
|
BUDGET |
ACTUAL |
VARIANCE |
PRA |
40,429 |
40,429 |
0 |
NO |
268,323 |
290,952 |
22,628 |
KPFA |
433,934 |
356,681 |
(77,253) |
KPFK |
260,932 |
405,221 |
144,290 |
KPFT |
108,126 |
64,206 |
(43,919) |
WBAI |
299,459 |
285,150 |
(14,310) |
WPFW |
145,706 |
149,919 |
4,213 |
TOTAL |
1,556,908 |
1,592,557 |
35,649 |
March 2005 Forecast
|
|
SUMMARY |
|
|
BUDGET |
ACTUAL |
VARIANCE |
PRA |
40,429 |
40,429 |
0 |
NO |
268,323 |
271,279 |
2,956 |
KPFA |
433,934 |
362,086 |
(71,849) |
KPFK |
260,932 |
348,090 |
87,159 |
KPFT |
108,126 |
108,126 |
0 |
WBAI |
299,459 |
212,989 |
(86,470) |
WPFW |
145,706 |
238,211 |
92,505 |
TOTAL |
1,556,908 |
1,581,210 |
24,301 |
What are the differences?
- KPFK is projecting less reserves--down to 87K from 144k
due in part to reductions in the estimates on the spring
drive revenue (spring drive numbers are often less than
winter ones) but also because some new expenses may arise
in the union contracting process. The caution here is that
if the next drive is not as successful as the first two,
then even the 87k could quickly disappear.
- KPFA is now projecting a smaller variance (77k-to 71K)
but the issues there are complex. In order to reduce the
variance the station is adding on extra days to its spring
drive projections and having to utilize funds from prior
fiscal year (cash on hand) of approximately 581k to make
ends meet. The good news here is that “A” had
752k in cash on hand at the beginning of the fiscal year.
A good part of the salary overspending derives from one-time
expenditures (having two GM salaries for part of this year)
will not be present next year. I expect “A”
to muddle through this year and do better next year. Finally,
it appears KPFA’s one month budget requirement was
overstated by 77k. Therefore, the case can be made that
in fact the station has met its one month reserve requirement.
Finally, “A” is planning to present a cost reduction
plan for next fiscal.
- WBAI has increased its negative variance to 86k due to
unexpected expenses. But things are still in flux there
and I think that much depends on the next drive which has
a target of 1.1 million. As usual with “I” there
is the need for diligence. If the revenue picture goes south
then there will be a need to look at expenses.
- PRA’s forecast is unchanged since last month.
- The National Office has little change in its forecast,
and, has the prospect of gaining even more of a positive
variance due to planned fundraising efforts. However, these
are not currently in place thus a conservative estimate
is what I have gone with here.
- KPFT’s break even projection is dependent upon
a plan by management and the KPFT Board to raise 149k over
the next six months. Again, the over-all problem is deeper—that
of a reduced listener ship. The station has responded with
some new program changes and time will tell if this will
help matters. Kudos’ to “T” for responding
to the needs of the station and moving ahead.
To summarize:
We will have to decide whether or not to recommend a waiver
for stations (WBAI-83k, KPFT—its 149k plan and KPFA’s
plan as part of this budget approval process.
Other noteworthy items:
Variance notes have been added to line item and net changes
in dollars are now being computed from month to month. In
this way we can see what changed and why.
Strategic Issues
This section is repeated from last month’s report
but is still relevant. Larger trends are impacting public
and membership-based radio in general and Pacifica specifically.
We have, as a network, developed three drivers which has sustained
us over the years despite trends in public radio which show
declining listener ship. Pacifica’s drivers, in my view,
after having looked at the financial data over the last 15
years, have been three in number:
A. Crisis Driven
When ever there has been war, an international crisis or
even our internal crisis over the last 4 years or so, the
listener ship has responded and we see increases in revenue
for the Network. The “spikes” have been striking
dating back to the initial gulf war. The second gulf war
also has been instrumental in that listeners have looked
to Pacifica for non-partisan news and information and alternative
perspectives and this shows up in spikes in our revenue.
Our own internal crisis also revealed revenue spikes.
B. Talent.
We have on the Network personalities and journalists which
listeners gyrate toward. “Democracy Now” and
other specific shows undoubtedly bring listeners out and
they support us and those shows magnificently. My estimate
is that we receive at least one third of our total Network
revenue from Democracy Now and other popular shows.
But, such tremendous support also creates vulnerability
and clearly points out the need to diversify our revenue
sources. Should, perish the thought, one of our long time
“stars” leave us the impact on revenue is unknown.
C. Premium Driven:
We have over the years utilized premiums as an incentive
for listeners. They have responded. But note the cost of
getting premiums into the hands of our listeners approximated
one million dollars this year. And, increasing it is clear
that as we orient listeners to “premium incentives”
they have learned to wait for special premium offers in
the last days of a drive to make their contributions. This
creates volatility and uncertainty—not good things
in finance.
These “drivers’ in my estimation, each have their
pros and cons and exemplify the need to identify our revenue
strategy of the future. What would be, for us a non-crisis,
non talent driven, non premium strategy? We have a few suggestions
in this area and will bring them forth at the June Board.
This is a critical issue for us in my view, in the current
radio environment.
Capital Facility and Equipment Needs
I remain concerned with the following:
- KPFA has deferred building needs which will cost the
station at least 150k and more if these go unattended much
longer.
- KPFT has to look to rehabilitate its building. Cost 75k
and up?
- WPFW has to decide how to move and where to move to in
an expensive real estate market
- WBAI has to also look for new quarters to save money
- KPFK is looking at satellite facilities and or rehabbing
its current quarters.
- We must evaluate digitization of the Network and it costs.
- We must evaluate cost factors for our Race and Nationality
initiatives
- We must identify cost factors for Free Speech Radio News,
our Short Wave Radio initiative and other unbudgeted needs.
- And each station and the national office must have reserves
against the bad drive and the rainy day. And the rainy day
always comes.
ENSURING PACIFICA’S FUTURE
To ensure Pacifica’s future at this, our 56th anniversary,
and as we look out upon the community radio environment, it
is clear that storm clouds are gathering. NPR, PBS and indeed
all of the Public Radio and Community Radio communities are
clearly experiencing demands, and sometimes, new negative
criticisms coming from those who have stated that programming
in these areas is not “fair and balanced.” This
is, as I write, being played out in Washington DC, in forums
and other venues.
What does this mean for Pacifica?
My view:
- We must have the financial solvency to withstand legal
threats which will surely come and will be surely costly
to defend
- We must end internal disputes which only divide out energies.
This can and should be done by clarifying who supports the
Pacifica mission and who feel that the mission should be
a different one. These differences, in my view, are at the
base of on-going disputes.
- We must adopt with one voice a single vision of Pacifica’s
future and move toward that future as one.
- Above all, we must model the values we espouse—not
the negative values we oppose in others.
Budget Scheduling
We have to finish this fiscal year first to bring Network
budgets into balance. Next year FY 06 is just beginning for
us
The Timetable for FY 06 Budget
- May-compile large ticket items which may impact next fiscal
year FY 06 (Stations and the CFO)
- May-Finance Committee begins preliminary looks at FY 06
identifying with the CFO priorities
- June the Board in apprized of preliminary budget items
and issues for FY06
- July and August the LSB communities look at priorities
and financial issues
- September- the full Board reviews and or approves the
budget for FY 06
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